Harvard
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 96.6557Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 10- 4 217 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 17- 8 221 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 13-12 228 N Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 19-10 307 N Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.5) 17- 7 314 A Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.5) 12- 9 320 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 17-14 324 A Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 14-11 329 N North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 7-17 404 H Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 12-10 411 A Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.8) 9-15 418 H Princeton Ivy (13- 2, 99.4) 14-15 425 A Cornell Ivy (11- 4, 98.4) 9-11 501 A Cornell Ivy (11- 4, 98.4) 8-17 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Providence 10- 4 6 5 0.51
217 H Colgate 17- 8 9 5 1.97
221 H Syracuse 13-12 1 -1 1.61
228 N Marquette 19-10 9 5 1.91
307 N Michigan 17- 7 10 2 ++ 4.81
314 A Penn 12- 9 3 0 + 3.27
320 H Dartmouth 17-14 3 5 -1.88
324 A Boston University 14-11 3 1 + 2.40
329 N North Carolina 7-17 -10 -2 -- -4.95
404 H Brown 12-10 2 5 - -2.85
411 A Yale 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.46
418 H Princeton 14-15 -1 -1 0.39
425 A Cornell 9-11 -2 -3 1.13
501 A Cornell 8-17 o -9 -3 - -3.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 N North Carolina 7-17 -10 -2 -- -4.95 411 A Yale 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.46 404 H Brown 12-10 2 5 - -2.85 501 A Cornell 8-17 o -9 -3 - -3.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 N Michigan 17- 7 10 2 ++ 4.81 314 A Penn 12- 9 3 0 + 3.27 324 A Boston University 14-11 3 1 + 2.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 10- 4 -7.36 13.24 -1.38 1.02 24.25
3 H Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 17- 8 -6.90 13.70 -1.38 1.02 25.19
3 H Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 13-12 -1.26 19.34 -1.38 1.02 36.73
3 N Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 19-10 -8.34 12.26 -0.00 1.02 25.07
3 N Michigan ( 5- 9, 94.5) 17- 7 -5.44 15.16 -0.00 1.02 31.00
3 A Penn ( 7- 6, 95.5) 12- 9 -4.35 16.25 1.38 1.02 36.03
3 H Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 17-14 -6.75 13.85 -1.38 1.02 25.51
3 A Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 14-11 -5.22 15.38 1.38 1.02 34.25
3 N North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 7-17 -1.19 19.40 -0.00 1.02 -0.61
3 H Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 12-10 -6.72 13.88 -1.38 1.02 25.57
3 A Yale ( 9- 5, 96.8) 9-15 -3.07 17.52 1.38 1.02 -0.87
3 H Princeton (13- 2, 99.4) 14-15 -0.48 20.12 -1.38 1.02 -0.95
3 A Cornell (11- 4, 98.4) 9-11 -1.48 19.11 1.38 1.02 -0.06
3 A Cornell (11- 4, 98.4) 8-17 -1.48 19.11 1.38 1.02 -0.06
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261.06
|
winning pts = 263.6003 losing points = -2.5381
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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